文档名：数字经济对城乡融合发展的影响研究
摘要：城乡融合发展是应对城乡发展不平衡难题的关键所在,迫切需要引入当前经济体系中最活跃的数字经济来打破城乡融合发展中的困境.基于2011—2021年省级面板数据,建立熵值法指标体系,构建面板回归、门槛效应等模型,研究数字经济、城乡劳动力错配与城乡融合发展之间的关系.结果表明:数字经济能显著促进城乡融合发展;数字经济通过改善我国城乡劳动力错配现状,对城乡融合发展产生促进作用;而劳动力错配会带来效率损失,因此在数字经济促进城乡融合发展的过程中表现出遮掩效应.数字经济对城乡融合发展的作用程度受城乡劳动力错配门槛效应影响,当城乡劳动力错配程度较高时,数字经济的促进效应会被大幅抑制,造成资源浪费且不利于城乡融合发展.基于此,提出优化布局数字新基建,利用数字赋能调节城乡要素配置,完善要素市场体系,深化城乡分割体制改革,建设全国统一大市场等建议.
Abstract：Theurban-ruraldichotomyhasfragmentedtheentireeconomy,whichleadstotheseriousimbalancebetweenurbanandruraldevelopmentovertime.ThedichotomyhashinderedtheformationofthedomesticeconomiccyclepatterninChinaandreducedtheallocationefficiencyofproductionfactorsbetweenurbanandruralareas.Thearticleexaminedthemechanismsbywhichthevibrantdigitaleconomyinfluencestheurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentfromtheperspectiveofurban-rurallabormismatch,inordertobuildthenewrelationshipsbetweenindustryandagriculture,urbanandruralareasandtoestablishaunifiedmarketforcommodityandfactorsbetweenurbanandruralareas.Basedontheprovincialpaneldatafrom2011to2021(excludingHongKong,Macao,TaiwanandTibet),thearticleconstructedanentropymethodindexsystemtomeasurethedigitaleconomyindexandurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentindex,andcalculatedurban-rurallabormismatchindexineachprovince.Thestudywasbasedontheassumptionoftheurban-ruraldichotomy,withlabormismatchbetweentheagriculturalandnon-agriculturalsectorsasaproxyfortheirrelationshipbetweenurbanandruralareas.Byconstructingpanelregressionandthresholdregression,thepaperinvestigatedtherelationshipamongdigitaleconomy,urban-rurallabormismatchandurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.Thearticlefirstlyreviewedandsummarizedtherelevantliteratureonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment,urban-rurallabormismatch,comprehensiveresearchondigitaleconomyandurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.Then,ittheoreticallyanalyzedtheinfluencemechanismofdigitaleconomyaffectingurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentinthepresenceoflabormismatch.Aftercontrollingforasmanyvariablesaspossiblethatmayhaveeffect,thecoefficientofthedigitaleconomy'simpactonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentwaslargerinthepanelregressioncomparedtotheresultsoftheordinaryleastsquaresregression.Itsuggestedthatasmallincreaseinthedigitaleconomyindexcancauseasignificantincreaseinthedegreeofurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.AfterapplyingtheSobel-Goodmantest,thearticlefoundthatthecoefficientofthedigitaleconomyontheurban-rurallabormismatchindexhadtheoppositesigntotheoneoftheurban-rurallabormismatchindexontheurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentindex.Therefore,theurban-rurallabormismatchindexplayedamaskingeffectbetweenthedigitaleconomyandurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.Itmeantthatthedevelopmentofthedigitaleconomycanalleviatethedegreeofdistortionintheurbanandrurallabormarkets,enhancetheefficiencyofurbanandrurallaborresourceallocation,andthuspromotetheurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.Whenthedegreeoflabormismatchbetweenurbanandruralareaswasmoresevere,itwasweakerthatthedigitaleconomyhadthefacilitatingeffectonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.Further,usingtheurban-rurallabormismatchindexasthresholdvariable,itwasfoundthatthereisasinglethresholdvalueof0.2757intheimpactofthedigitaleconomyonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.Oncetheindexvalueexceeded0.2757,itwillsignificantlydecreasethecoefficientvalueofthedigitaleconomyindexontheurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentindex,butthecoefficientwasstillsignificantlypositive.Itsuggestedthatthefacilitatingeffectofthedigitaleconomyonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentwillbepartiallysuppressedastheurban-rurallabormismatchindexincreased,resultingingreaterefficiencylossesandweakergrowthdynamics.Basedontheabovestudy,thepapertestedtheresultsforrobustnessusingtheapproachofphasedregressionandexclusionofexceptionalsamples.Thecoefficientsofthedigitaleconomyindexonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmenthaddecreasedbutwasstillsignificantlypositive,indicatingthattheregressionresultswererobust.Theresultsareasfollows.First,thedigitaleconomycansignificantlycontributetourban-ruralintegrationdevelopment,andhaveagreatercoefficientofinfluenceinthelongterm;Secondly,digitaleconomycanrelievethephenomenonofurban-rurallabormismatchinChina,andhaveapromotingeffectonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.Labormismatchshowsmaskingeffectintheimpactmechanismbecauseitwillleadefficiencyloss.Thirdly,thedegreeofdigitaleconomy'seffectonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentwasaffectedbythethresholdofurban-rurallabormismatch.Whenthedegreeofurban-rurallabormismatchwashigh,thepromotioneffectwillbegreatlyinhibited,whichexacerbatedwasteofresourcesandisnotconducivetourban-ruralintegrationdevelopment.Combinedwiththeaboveresults,thearticleputsforwardpolicyrecommendationsfromfourperspectives:rationalizingthelayoutofnewdigitalinfrastructureconstruction,digitallyempoweringurbanandruralfactorallocation,deepeningfactormarketreform,andbuildingthenationalunifiedmarket.Thestudycomplementsthetheoreticaldiscussionoflabormismatchinthemechanismofdigitaleconomy'simpactonurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentandhopestoprovidefeasiblecountermeasuresuggestionsfortheproblemsencounteredinurban-ruralintegrationdevelopmentandruralrevitalizationinChina.
作者：蔡武 刘潞源Author：CAIWu LIULuyuan
作者单位：南华大学经济管理与法学学院,湖南衡阳421001
刊名：重庆理工大学学报 PKU
Journal：JournalofChongqingInstituteofTechnology
年，卷(期)：2024, 38(8)
分类号：F061.3F061.5
关键词：城乡融合 数字经济 劳动力要素 资源错配 城乡二元结构
Keywords：urban-ruralintegration digitaleconomy laborfactor resourcemismatch urban-ruraldualstructure
机标分类号：F249.212F831F124
在线出版日期：2024年6月27日
基金项目：湖南省教育厅科学研究项目数字经济对城乡融合发展的影响研究[
期刊论文] 重庆理工大学学报--2024, 38(8)蔡武 刘潞源城乡融合发展是应对城乡发展不平衡难题的关键所在,迫切需要引入当前经济体系中最活跃的数字经济来打破城乡融合发展中的困境.基于2011—2021年省级面板数据,建立熵值法指标体系,构建面板回归、门槛效应等模型,研究数字经...参考文献和引证文献
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数字经济对城乡融合发展的影响研究 Research on the impact of digital economy on urban-rural integration development
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