文档名：考虑多米诺效应的化工园区应急资源调配问题研究
摘要：在多米诺效应的影响下,化工园区的危险化学品事故具有复杂性和不可预测性,以化工园区的危险化学品固定式危险源、应急设施、应急救援车辆及应急资源为研究对象,开展了定量风险评估、应急设施选址问题及应急资源调配问题的研究,采用理论推导、仿真分析与算例应用验证相结合的方法,并优化改进了数学模型.结果表明,多米诺效应将增加该石化工业园的整体风险,在应急救援车辆路径规划中考虑区域风险分布能够有效规避危险化学品事故所造成的高风险区域,可为化工园区应急管理数字化转型、智能化升级提供理论与方法支撑.
Abstract：Thispaperdelvesintoaseriesofstudiesregardingquantitativeriskassessment,thesitingofemergencyfacilities,andthedeploymentofemergencyresourcesinchemicalparks.Firstly,focusingonfixedhazardsourcesofhazardouschemicalsinthechemicalindustrypark,thisstudydescribestheriskarisingfromsuchsourcesasafunctionofaccidentprobabilityandtheseverityofitsconsequences,establishingaquantitativemodel.Utilizingthismodel,amethodandprocessforquantitativeriskassessmentconsideringthedominoeffectaredeveloped,alongsideanenhancedMonteCarlosimulationmethodtoestimateaccidentprobability.Thequantitativeriskassessmentresultsindicatethatthedominoeffectcanmarkedlyelevatetheregionalrisklevelassociatedwithstationaryhazardsourceaccidentsinvolvinghazardouschemicals.Secondly,leveragingthequantitativeriskassessmentoutcomes,thispaperformulatesanemergencyfacilitylocationmodelwithoptimizationobjectivesaimedatminimizingtheoverallcostoffacilityconstructionwhilemaximizingthetotalriskcoverageofthefacilities.Themodelincorporatestheintensityofemergencydemandbyconstructinganemergencydemandlevelthatdescribestheintensity,utilizingtheclassificationindexofmajordangersourceidentificationmethod.Thesolutionisdevisedusingaweightedlinearcombinationmethodandanaugmentation-constraintmethod.Additionally,theTOPSISmethodisemployedtooptimizethedecisionscheme.Finally,theproblemofemergencyresourceallocationisaddressedintwostages.Thefirststageinvolvestherouteplanningofemergencyrescuevehicles.Consideringtheriskfactorsassociatedwithvehiclesduringdriving,thisstudyestablishesarouteplanningmethodforemergencyrescuevehiclesthattakesintoaccounttheriskdistributionofthedominoeffect.ItproposesaroutesearchmethodcalledDijkstra-DominoEffectRisk,whichisbasedoncumulativeriskvalue.Thesecondstageinvolvestheschedulingofemergencyresources,aimingtoprioritizetheearliestcommencementofemergencyrescueactivities,optimizetheallocationofvariousemergencyresources,andminimizethenumberofemergencyrescuepointsrequired.Theemergencyresourceschedulingmodelofferstailoredschedulingschemesbasedonthevarieddecisionpreferencesofmanagers.
作者：楚志勇 张孝春 蒋君豪 陈钦佩 Author：CHUZhiyong ZHANGXiaochun JIANGJunhao CHENQinpei
作者单位：国家消防救援局天津训练总队,天津300000广东工业大学环境科学与工程学院,广州510000应急管理部天津消防研究所,天津300381
刊名：安全与环境学报 ISTICPKU
Journal：JournalofSafetyandEnvironment
年，卷(期)：2024, 24(5)
分类号：X937
关键词：安全工程 应急资源调配 应急设施选址 风险评估 应急救援
Keywords：safetyengineering emergencyresourceallocation emergencyfacilitysiteselection riskassessment emergencyrescue
机标分类号：X928.5U492.22F426.471
在线出版日期：2024年6月12日
基金项目：考虑多米诺效应的化工园区应急资源调配问题研究[
期刊论文] 安全与环境学报--2024, 24(5)楚志勇 张孝春 蒋君豪 陈钦佩在多米诺效应的影响下,化工园区的危险化学品事故具有复杂性和不可预测性,以化工园区的危险化学品固定式危险源、应急设施、应急救援车辆及应急资源为研究对象,开展了定量风险评估、应急设施选址问题及应急资源调配问题的研...参考文献和引证文献
参考文献
引证文献
本文读者也读过
相似文献
相关博文
考虑多米诺效应的化工园区应急资源调配问题研究 Study on emergency resource allocation in chemical parks considering domino effect
考虑多米诺效应的化工园区应急资源调配问题研究.pdf
- 文件大小:
- 8.66 MB
- 下载次数:
- 60
-
高速下载
|
|
