文档名：区块链赋能视角下危险货物道路运输安全监管演化博弈研究
摘要：为分析区块链技术在危险货物道路运输安全监管中的应用价值,利用演化博弈法建立由监管方、承运方和托运方构成的三方演化博弈模型,确定收益矩阵和复制动态方程,分析演化博弈系统中各均衡点的稳定条件.利用MATLAB对各利益主体的策略选择进行了动态演化分析,探究三方演化博弈中相关变量对三方演化策略选择的影响.结果表明:区块链的应用成本与各参与方的策略选择呈负相关;应用区块链技术对监管方合规监管、承运方和托运方遵守规定倾向的提升程度及应用区块链时监管方的补贴程度与各方的策略选择呈正相关;监管方责任规避系数与策略选择呈负相关,承运方和托运方的责任附加系数与策略选择呈正相关.
Abstract：Toanalyzetheapplicationvalueandapplicationinfluencingfactorsofblockchaintechnologyinthesafetysupervisionofroadtransportofdangerousgoods,thethree-partyevolutionarygametheorywasintroducedtoconstructathree-partyevolutionarygamemodelcomposedofthesupervisor,thecarrier,andtheshipper.First,thegamerelationshipamongstakeholderswasdiscussedinthetransportationofdangerousgoods,modelassumptionswereproposed,andthepayoffmatrixandreplicationdynamicequationsweredetermined.Then,theequilibriumpointanditsstableconditionsintheevolutionarygamesystemwereanalyzed.Finally,MATLABwasusedtoanalyzethedynamicevolutionofthestrategychoicesofvariousstakeholdersandtoexploretheinfluenceofrelevantvariablesinthetripartiteevolutionarygameonthechoiceoftripartiteevolutionstrategies.Theresultsshowthattheevolutionarystabilitystrategyofthethree-partygamesubjectisaffectedbyvariousfactorssuchasthecostofblockchain,thedegreeofcompliancesupervisionandcomplianceimprovementthatblockchaincanbring,subsidycoefficient,liabilityavoidance,andadditionaldegree.Theapplicationcostoftheblockchainisnegativelycorrelatedwiththestrategicchoiceofeachparticipant;theapplicationofblockchaintechnologycanimprovetheregulator'scompliancesupervision,thecarrier'sandconsignor'stendencytocomplywiththeregulations,andtheregulator'ssubsidyfortheapplicationoftheblockchain.Thedegreeispositivelycorrelatedwiththestrategicchoicesofallparties;theliabilityavoidancecoefficientoftheregulatorisnegativelycorrelatedwiththestrategicchoices,andtheadditionalliabilitycoefficientsofthecarrierandshipperarepositivelycorrelatedwiththestrategicchoices.Theaboveresultscanprovideadecision-makingbasisforallpartiesinthedangerousgoodstransportationsupervisionsystemtochoosewhethertoapplyblockchaintechnologyandcanalsoprovideareferenceforthespecificapplicationofblockchaintechnologyinthetransportationofdangerousgoods.
作者：吴海涛 刘月 Author：WUHaitao LIUYue
作者单位：西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,成都611756;综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,成都611756;综合交通大数据应用技术国家工程实验室,成都611756西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,成都611756
刊名：安全与环境学报 ISTICPKU
Journal：JournalofSafetyandEnvironment
年，卷(期)：2024, 24(5)
分类号：X924
关键词：安全社会工程 危险货物运输 安全监管 区块链 三方演化博弈
Keywords：safetysocialengineering dangerousgoodstransportation safetysupervision blockchain tripartiteevolutionarygame
机标分类号：F224.32F830TP311.13
在线出版日期：2024年6月12日
基金项目：国家自然科学基金区块链赋能视角下危险货物道路运输安全监管演化博弈研究[
期刊论文] 安全与环境学报--2024, 24(5)吴海涛 刘月为分析区块链技术在危险货物道路运输安全监管中的应用价值,利用演化博弈法建立由监管方、承运方和托运方构成的三方演化博弈模型,确定收益矩阵和复制动态方程,分析演化博弈系统中各均衡点的稳定条件.利用MATLAB对各利益...参考文献和引证文献
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区块链赋能视角下危险货物道路运输安全监管演化博弈研究 Research on the evolutionary game of road transportation safety supervision of dangerous goods from the perspective of blockchain empowerment
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